Josh Allen and the Bills are on fire. Allen has thrown for 15 touchdowns in the last five games, two of those games he threw for 4 touchdowns a piece. Last week against the 10-win Dolphins, Allen got off to a slow start and the team still scored 56 points. Stefon Diggs, who led the league in receptions this year, could have a field day against the 20th ranked pass defense of the Colts, as Indianapolis may be without two key pieces in the secondary in safety Khari Willis and cornerback Rock Ya-Sin who are both in concussion protocol and are questionable for Saturday. I think the Bills roll the Colts and they will score around 40 points themselves, throw in a few late Phillip Rivers passes to T.Y. Hilton and this game will have a ton of points scored. Over 51.
The only other blowout I see in wild card weekend will take place in New Orleans. If you've read the other NFL Best Bets this season, you would know what I am about to say. THE BEARS QUARTERBACKS STINK. Saints -9.5.
We get to watch the Steelers and the Browns match up for the second week in a row and the third time this year, but this one is the most important. The first matchup was a disaster for the Browns as they got blown out by a streaking Steelers team. Last week Cleveland got revenge, but it was against mostly backups as the Steelers rested almost all of the starters. Now the Browns will come into Pittsburgh without their head coach who is out on the COVID-19 list. To me, Kevin Stefanski not being on the sideline is not as big of a issue as some are making it. These teams are division rivals and are playing for the second time in as many weeks. How much new game planning and coaching could of possibly taken place this week? These teams know each other inside and out, and this game is going to come down to skill. The Steelers are a better team than the Browns, but not by much. Pittsburgh still cant move the ball down the field, and the Browns running game always struggles against this defense. Steelers will edge out the Browns in a low scoring, close AFC North battle. Browns +6.5. Under 48.
Here is my surprise pick of the week. I like Washington outright against Tampa Bay. I will post a game review for this game on Saturday so I don't want to spoil it, but the reason I'm picking Washington is simple. Tom Brady has struggled his entire career, and specifically the last few years, when the defense can get pressure up the middle with a 4-man pass rush. Washington's front four is the best in the league and may be the best we've seen in the league in years. I know Alex Smith and the offense cant score much, but they will get the job done. The underdogs are also 6-2 outright in wild card weekend over the last two years. Washington +8.5.
Lock of the Week
Everyone seems to love the Rams in this game and I think they are all dead WRONG! Its amazing to see how people are reacting to now starting quarterback John Wolford. John Wolford threw for 200 yards, an interception, and didn't score any touchdowns, but if you turn on ESPN they are saying he played great. Wolford and the Rams scored 16 points against an 8-8 Cardinals team and all of the sudden we think he's going too knock off Russel Wilson in the playoffs? What are we talking about? No matter how good a coach Sean McVay is, and I think he's one of the best, there is no way the Rams can even keep this game close. The Seattle defense seems to finally be hitting its stride, and two weeks ago the Jared Goff led Rams could only muster 9 points against the Seahawks D. The Seahawks will win and they will win convincingly. Seattle -3.